Business Forecast

Produced by the Chamber, in partnership with Silvergate Bank, this monthly economic report conducted by Competitive Edge Research provides valuable insights into future trends of the regional business community as well as topical issues.


April 2017 – Steady Business Confidence Closes Q1
The April Business Forecast takes a look back at the first quarter of 2017 with the quarterly Business Outlook Index (BOI) at 24.8, which is a marked improvement over the previous three quarters and the best since the second quarter of 2015. The monthly BOI comes in just slightly below the quarterly mark at a solid 23.7, exactly its lifetime average. This month’s Forecast, sponsored by Silvergate Bank, also looks at opportunities and challenges for small businesses in San Diego County. Government regulations and minimum wage top the list of obstacles, while 41 percent say growth opportunities are better for small firms now than five years ago.

March 2017 – Business Confidence Continues Positive Trajectory
This month’s Business Forecast brings continued good news on the outlook for county businesses with the Business Outlook Index (BOI) firmly in positive territory at 25.2. The main driver of this recent surge in enthusiasm relates to revenue with the majority of firms expecting an increase. This month’s Forecast, sponsored by Silvergate Bank, also looks at health insurance and perceptions of the ACA. The survey found that relatively few firms know how the proposed ACA reforms will impact their business.

February 2017 – Business Confidence Soars in First Quarter
The positive trend we have seen the last few months from county businesses continues with a surge in optimism in this month’s Silvergate Bank-sponsored Business Forecast. San Diego County’s Business Outlook Index (BOI) is now 25.6, the highest level since March 2016. This month’s Forecast also asks about disaster preparedness and finds that fewer than half of the county’s businesses have a disaster recovery plan. Business size is a factor,  with small firms rarely having plans in place and large firms more likely to have an established strategy.